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Sandy and Judy Hines
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| Halifax Nova Scotia Real Estate
Blog |
| Home ownership in Halifax climbs 11 per cent over 40 years
- January 2012
The home ownership rate in Halifax has steadily increased over the last
four decades, according to a new report.
Data included in the ninth annual edition of the Canadian Housing Observer,
released by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., shows the rate of home
ownership — defined as people with a mortgage or who have become
mortgage-free — was at 64 per cent in Halifax in the 2006 census
year, compared to 53.2 per cent in 1971.
The provincial rate has been relatively flat over the same period, at
72 per cent in 2006, up from 71.2 per cent in 1971.
About 37 per cent of those classified as Halifax homeowners by CMHC owned
their property without a mortgage in 2006, the year with the most recent
available data.
Those numbers are relatively close to the national averages of a 68.4
per cent ownership rate, with 42 per cent of those without mortgages.
The number of Halifax homeowners under 35 years old in 2006 was
12 per cent, the same as the national average.
“We’re very diverse and spread out to all the different sectors
and industries within the business world, and I think that’s
what makes us very similar to Canada, as a whole, (with respect to)
the national averages," said Matthew Gilmore, senior market analyst
at the CMHC Atlantic Business Centre.
Of the 37 municipalities listed by CMHC, the highest rate of home ownership
was in Cape Breton, at 75 per cent. Cape Breton Regional Municipality
was the only municipal area to have more than 50 per cent of its homeowners
without mortgages.
Those numbers are normal for an area that has an average home price hovering
around $150,000, compared with almost $270,000 in Halifax, Gilmore said.
“It’s just a more rural city compared to Halifax, it’s
smaller scale, the population is a little more spread out.
“With less expensive housing, you’re going to have a little
bit higher home ownership rates; with less expensive housing, you’re
going to be more likely to see people pay off their mortgages a little
bit faster."
The median after-tax income of Halifax households was $49,300 in 2009,
below the national average of $52,000 Another indicator showed that
seven per cent of all Halifax homeowners have condominiums, below
the national average of 11 per cent and far below other cities such as
Victoria, Vancouver, Edmonton and Toronto.
In 2010, more than one-third of all housing starts across Canada were
condominiums, up from 29 per cent the previous year, with Vancouver leading
the charge.
More than 50 per cent of all 2010 housing starts in Vancouver were condominiums,
followed closely by Montreal, which was at 50 per cent.
However, according to Gilmore, less than 10 per cent of all housing
starts in Halifax over the last five years have been condominiums,
compared with as much as 75 per cent in some other cities over the same
period. “What are we building instead? We’re building
rental units, and we’re building rental units because they’re
very competitive in Halifax.
“Builders are still able to put together a business case to build
a 100-unit building and offer very high-end finishings, materials,
details, large units, and still keep the price well below the carrying
cost of a condo, and that keeps it very competitive and makes the apartment
industry very attractive in Halifax."
The Canadian Housing Observer is put out annually and examines
market trends by looking at key housing indicators such as starts, sales,
housing prices, rents and rental vacancy rates.
This year’s report focused on the national housing financing sector,
household indebtedness, seniors housing and social housing.
The CMHC report also indicated that housing-related spending accounted
for more than 20 per cent of the national gross domestic product, contributing
about $330 billion to the Canadian economy in 2010 — up 7.1 per
cent from $308 billion in 2009.
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| Fall housing starts down 39.2 per cent
The number of building permits issued in Nova Scotia decreased significantly
in October from the previous month, Finance Department figures say.
According to those numbers, building permits declined by 39.2 per cent,
or a value of $52 million in October, which follows a four per cent
increase the previous month.
While the value of industrial permits increased by $3 million, residential
and commercial permits declined by $24 million each and institutional
and governmental building permits decreased by $8 million.
Overall, permits in Halifax were down 44.7 per cent, with a $20.8 million
decline in residential value. But Thomas Storring, the department’s
director of economics and statistics, said monthly figures don’t
tell the whole story.
Storring noted that since 2001, declines in the number of building
permits in excess of 30 per cent have happened six times and increases
in excess of 30 per cent have happened 17 times.
“Building permits on a monthto- month basis are quite volatile.
We do pay attention to them because they do give us an early indication
of construction that could be coming, but they could be heavily influenced
by large single projects."
Year to date, from January to October, provincial permits are down 15.6
per cent, led by a residential drop of $30 million in value, and $191
million in nonresidential construction.
Joseph Daniel, general manager at Cresco , which builds homes and
has recently entered the multi-unit construction market, said he
has noticed a decline in demand for new homes.
“We have noticed that there is a higher demand on multi-units lately
in the past few years, but we have maintained a steady flow of new home
construction as well," he said.
A contributing factor in the declining popularity of new home construction
was the two percentage point harmonized sales tax increase on new homes
to 10 per cent from eight, as well as a general hike in other construction-
related costs, he said.
“That’s a hard number to swallow for most people, when
salaries have essentially been flat.
You may not notice that on a candy bar, but when the average price of
a new home now is $395,000, that’s $8,000. And that makes it a lot
more challenging." Al Demings of Re/Max Nova
said new construction represents about 15 per cent of entire real estate
marketplace.
But those increased costs are discouraging for first-time buyers, who
are opting to buy homes in the $250,000 price range.
“A new home, versus a recently aged resale home, is probably
15 to 20 per cent higher for new construction," he said.
The $25billion shipbuilding contract, announced in October, is the reason
the local real estate market is finishing strong in 2011, said the annual
Re/Max housing market outlook.
The number of homes sold in Halifax-Dartmouth is expected to increase
by four per cent over 2010 levels, to 6,200, by the end of the year, with
the average value also increasing four per cent to $263,000.
That would not have been foreseen before the contract announcement, Demings
said.
“That translated into a huge surge for this time of year. We normally
don’t see this kind of activity."
While the market is slowing down as winter sets in, it is expected
to pick up in February and March. Overall, Re/Max is forecasting a five
per cent increase for Halifax-Dartmouth next year, to 6,500 units
sold, and a five per cent increase in price to $276,000.
“We expect the spring to be relatively strong."
|
| The Halifax housing market will take a bit of a dip next
year, according to a report released this week by a real estate and consulting
firm.
Citing an expected decrease in apartment starts in Halifax, along with
relatively slow job growth, weak gross domestic product and stagnant migration
numbers, the
Altus Group is predicting about 700 fewer housing starts in 2012 than
the 2,800 expected by the end of this year.
But that prognosis is not limited to Halifax or the rest of the province,
but to the entire region as well.
“The single family will probably be pretty steady next year,
but modestly lower housing starts on the multi-family housing side, in
particular, as this surge of activity comes through the pipeline,"
Altus Group chief economist Peter Norman said in an interview from
Toronto.
This followed a “pretty strong year for housing starts" in
the municipality in 2010, which was up “substantially" from
2009 as a result of rising migration levels to the city.
Next year’s dropoff in starts can be attributed to an expected
slowdown in the number of apartment starts and multi-family dwellings,
which experienced growth in 2010 and 2011.
“And that’s to do with a number of projects which are underway
right now and got going after the recession, and responding to some of
the growth factors at that point in time," Norman said.
“Obviously, we’re working through that burst of investment
activity, but these things now are under construction and coming forward."
That burst of apartment building activity in Halifax was due, in
part, to low interest rates. As rates remain low, and may even be lowered
more, that is no longer an important factor in the decision to build.
“So the issue is right now, if we’re low and steady on the
interest rates and if we’ve already had a couple of surges of supply
and demand responses to these interest rates, is there really a massive
pool of potential buyers out there ready to respond to low interest rates,
and I think probably not," Norman said. “I think we’ve
worked through a lot of that valuebuyer activity that was responding to
low interest rates."
New home sales and particularly those on the resale market will
be flat or perhaps even drop in 2012, partially driven by a modest increase
in prices.
“Once we saw prices basically migrating from about $250K to about
the $270K in terms of average price, that started to take out a little
bit of the steam, in my opinion, out of that market," he said.
Norman said the forecast took into account any effect the $25-billion
shipbuilding will have on the market.
But no tangible effects of the contract will be felt in the housing market
until at least 2013, he said. Rob Faulkner, president of the Nova Scotia
Association of Realtors, said he was optimistic about the housing market
in 2012 and beyond.
“Nobody’s got a crystal ball, we know that, but we do know
that Nova Scotia has had some great news," he said about the shipbuilding
contract.
“Actually, Nova Scotia’s economy is not in bad shape at all,
and we’re optimistic that we’ll continue to see some increases
for us in the next few years."
According to the association, sales increased by 8.7 per cent and price
increased by 1.7 per cent in October from the same period last year.
The sharpest increases in sales were seen in northeastern Nova Scotia,
South Shore and Cape Breton.
Halifax-Dartmouth saw a 7.8 per cent increase in sales 1,512 units sold
in October and a 3.9 per cent increase in price to $243,751.
|
Expert predicts economy will get 2.6% boost by 2013
- Nov 2011
TD Economics says Nova Scotia should start reaping benefits of the $25-billion
shipbuilding deal by 2013. (ADRIEN VECZAN / Staff)
.
Halifax’s $25-billion naval shipyard contract will single-handedly
transform Nova Scotia’s underperforming economy into one of the strongest
in Canada by 2013, a TD Bank Group economist predicts. Talk about a turnaround:
this year, before the Halifax Shipyard contract begins to have an impact,
Nova Scotia’s economy is slated to grow by a modest 1.4 per cent.
The bank had been expecting the economy to limp along during the next two
years. But since the awarding of the shipyard contract, TD is far more optimistic
about Nova Scotia’s prospects. So much so that its economics department
has taken the unusual step of updating its prognosis for the provincial
economy. “This contract has the potential to offer a better standard
of living and more long-term stability for the province,” TD economist
Sonya Gulati said Monday.
She added that the contract could help slow the exodus out of Nova Scotia
by “making people do a double take as to whether or not they have
to leave.”
Gulati predicts the provincial economy will grow by 2.6 per cent in 2013,
which is 0.5 per cent more than originally expected.
By the bank’s reckoning, that should leave Nova Scotia — previously
dead last in terms of expected GDP growth in 2013 — tied with Newfoundland
and Labrador as the fourth-best-performing economy in the land. (Alberta,
Saskatchewan and Ontario are expected to lead the country.)
Halifax Regional Municipality, which is forecast to grow by 3.2 per cent
in 2013, will do even better than the province.
The shipbuilding job bonanza is already slowly starting. The Irving family-owned
Halifax Shipyard has received 2,000 applications since the contract was
awarded on Oct. 19.
So far, the yard has hired 50 people, most of them electricians. But at
peak, Irving spokeswoman Mary Keith says, 1,000 of the 2,700 people expected
to be working at the shipyard should be in white-collar sectors like IT,
engineering and finance.
Those numbers don’t surprise TD’s Gulati. She expects the impact
of the shipyard contract to ripple through most sectors of the Nova Scotia
economy. Under the federal government’s Industrial and Regional Benefits
policy for procurement contracts, a substantial amount of the work must
go to small- and medium-sized enterprises, which make up the lion’s
share of the provincial economy. She also thinks benefits will spread far
beyond the boundaries of the Halifax region. The reason: some 70 per cent
of Nova Scotia’s manufacturing companies are located outside Halifax.
The same is true of roughly 40 per cent of the province’s research
and development, engineering and technical consulting firms.
That’s music to the ears of Bert Lewis, business development manager
of Mulgrave Machine Works Ltd. in Mulgrave. “Our expectation is
that there will be such a volume of work that one yard will not be able
to handle it,” said Lewis, whose custom metal fabrication company
hopes to design and fabricate pressure vessels and tanks for the shipyard
contract. “We are ready, willing and able to support that initiative
and look forward to being part of it.” |
Irving Shipyards Wins 25 Billion Dollar Contract to
Build Navy Ships in Halifax
On October 19, 2011 Irving Shipyards was awarded the contract to
build 20 navy ships in Halifax. This means up to 11,500 jobs at the peak
of construction which will last almost 30 years. The ships to be built will
include 3 destroyers, 12 frigates and 3 arctic patrol vessels. The total
value of the contract is about $25 billion. This will be a huge boost to
the economy of Halifax and will have a positive effect on real estate for
years to come. |
February 2011
CMHC reports new-home construction in Halifax rebounded
by 38 per cent in 2010; will see modest declines in 2011
For 2010 and looking into 2011, it would seem that the adage “slow
and steady wins the race" is appropriate when it came to the real
estate market. With a strong start and slow finish, the 2010 residential
real estate market in Nova Scotia reported a 0.4 per cent increase in
sales as compared to 2009.
“In Halifax, single-detached starts were up 27 per cent after three
quarters of the year, however a slight decline in the fourth quarter resulted
in singles finishing the year up 19 per cent compared to 2009," says
Matthew Gilmore, senior market analyst with CMHC’s Atlantic Business
Centre.
On a full-year basis, single starts increased 12 per cent in Nova
Scotia’s urban centres and 19 per cent in Halifax, while multiple
starts were up 48 and 57 per cent in each area, respectively.
“On the multiples side, starts in 2010 were largely supported by
a high level of apartment-style construction. Builders responded to an
increase in demand for rental accommodations as construction began on
1,043 apartment units last year," Gilmore adds.
“It was important to start the year strong after a slow 2008 and
2009," comments Karen Edwards, president of the Nova Scotia Association
of REALTORS®. “Consumers regained their confidence in buying
and selling and the winter market saw a flurry of activity. However, this
activity took away from the late spring market, and sales began to slow.
“Regardless, the 2010 market was healthy and balanced overall."
Paul Pettipas, CEO, Nova Scotia Home Builders’ Association (NSHBA),
agrees.
“From my point of view 2010 wasn’t a bad year, especially
coming off 2008 and 2009," he says.
“In general, we don’t have huge ups and downs in this province
— we are lucky in that way. It’s been steady, and people can
see the light at the end of the tunnel.
“For 2011 renovators are reporting that they are booked right
up in to the spring," continues Pettipas.
“As long as those in the industry watch the bottom line and
remain productive, I predict a nice, steady year and even a cautious increase."
Yarmouth saw the most significant change in its real estate market compared
to 2009, reporting a 26.6 per cent increase in sales and a 10 per cent
increase in listings. The average price was down 0.9 per cent. Part of
this can be directly linked to the economic impact of the cancellation
of the CAT Ferry and its subsequent effect on the area’s real
estate market.
After a shaky 2009, the South Shore area rebounded well with a 10.9 per
cent increase in sales and a 4.2 per cent increase in average price. The
Annapolis Valley also fared well in 2010 with a 7.5 per cent increase
in average price.
The Cape Breton, Halifax-Dartmouth and Northern Nova Scotia markets all
reported minor decreases in sales as listings were also down.
The Highland Region was up very slightly in both sales and listings;
however, average price was down by 9.8 per cent. This decrease brought
balance back to pricing in that area, which had a 12 per cent increase
in 2009.
Cautious optimism
As for the outlook for 2011, experts are cautiously optimistic.
“The Nova Scotia economy is expected to grow approximately 1.6
and 1.5 per cent in 2010 and 2011, respectively," explains Gilmore.
“Halifax is expected to continue to be the main driver of
growth in the province as the city benefits from a diversified employment
base and a number of large projects and contracts."
CMHC reports that new-home construction in Halifax rebounded by
38 per cent in 2010 and will see modest declines in 2011.
“For 2011, it is expected that a 7.5 per cent decline in singles
construction will be largely offset by a 10 per cent increase in apartment
construction," says Gilmore. “This level of multiples activity
follows declines of 16 per cent in 2008 and 17 per cent in 2009. Also
in 2011 moderate economic growth will result in lower levels of singles
construction.
“Expect approximately 925 new single starts in 2011 — a decrease
of 7.5 per cent," explains Gilmore. Existing home sales in Halifax
are expected to remain subdued in 2011. MLS® sales are expected to
see little movement in both 2010 and 2011 while prices are expected to
continue to advance.
“The modest growth in MLS sales in 2010 is due largely to growth
in the first half of the year. Expect to see a small decline in sales
in 2011," continues Gilmore.
“One of NSHBA’s largest concerns is that the government
is broke," says Pettipas.
“The stimulus money has to be paid back and there is a down loading
of costs on to the construction industry.
“The two per cent increase in HST last year may not be a big deal
on a cup of coffee, but on a $300,000 home that’s six grand." |
February 2011
Home sale prices increased in 2010
The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) reports that home
sale prices increased in 2010 compared with those of the previous year.
“Housing market activity in the Halifax Regional Municipality (HRM)
advanced in 2010," says Mathew Gilmore, senior market analyst for
CMHC.
“Both single-detached and multiple starts increased, as did existing
home sales and average sale price."
There were a total of 2,390 housing starts recorded in 2010; a significant
increase compared to the 1,733 starts recorded in 2009.
“The increase in total housing starts was due in large part to
an increase in apartment- style construction as ground was broken
on 1,043 new apartment units in 2010 compared to 599 in 2009," reports
Gilmore.
“In the singles market, there were 1,039 starts recorded in 2010
compared to 875 in 2009. Semi-detached and row unit starts increased from
259 starts a year ago to 308."
Also in 2010, the average price of an existing home increased six per
cent to $251,116. The largest increase since 2008.
“Year-to-date, the average sale price increased 5.9 per cent to
$251,116 as each submarket recorded an increase in average sale price,"
says Gilmore.
Price growth was strongest in Halifax County Southwest where the average
price increased nine per cent to $243,122. In Halifax City and Dartmouth
City, price growth was more modest at 4.8 and 4.1 per cent respectively.
“There were 5,766 existing home sales reported in 2010 compared
to 5,867 a year ago," says Gilmore. “Sales growth was strongest
in the Fall River-Beaverbank submarket where sales increased to 429 from
421 a year ago.
“Halifax City recorded a decrease of 1.3 per cent while sales in
Dartmouth City reported growth of 1.3 per cent," reports Gilmore.
For the year, existing home sales declined 11 per cent in Halifax
County East, 8.4 per cent in Halifax County Southwest and 5.7 per cent
in Sackville. The Bedford– Hammonds Plains and Halifax City submarkets
each recorded more modest declines in existing home sales of 1.7
and 1.3 per cent respectively.
“Price growth was strongest in Halifax County Southwest where the
average price increased nine per cent to $243, 122," says Gilmore.
“In both Halifax City and Dartmouth City, price growth was
more modest at 4.8 and 4.1. |
January 2011
Federal Finance Minister Jim Flaherty announced tighter mortgage
rules on Monday to combat concerns over high Canadian household debt.
"In 2008 and again in 2010, our government acted to protect and
strengthen the Canadian housing market," Flaherty told a news conference
in Ottawa. "We continue to do so today."Flaherty unveiled three
main changes:
•The maximum number of years the government will back a mortgage
was lowered from 35 to 30.
•The upper limit that Canadians can borrow against their home equity
was lowered from 90 per cent to 85 per cent.
•Government insurance backing on home equity lines of credit, or
HELOCs, has been removed.
The first change is likely to have the largest impact. Buyers who purchase
a home with less than 20 per cent of the value of the home are required
to purchase government-backed mortgage insurance through Canada Mortgage
and Housing Corporation.
Under the new rules, mortgages amortized over longer than 30 years will
no longer qualify for that insurance, making it effectively impossible
to get a highly leveraged mortgage of more than 30 years in Canada. After
companies began insuring mortgages of 40 years or more, Ottawa set the
limit at 35 years in 2008 before Monday's move lowered it to 30.
"This measure will significantly reduce the total interest payments
for Canadian homeowners," Flaherty said.
Aims to stem tide on consumer debt
He was referring to the fact that anyone taking a longer amortization
on their mortgage will be paying much more in interest on their home.
Flaherty pitched the lowering of the amount that can be borrowed against
home equity to 85 per cent to ensure Canadians retain some equity in their
homes.
"This will promote saving through home ownership and limit repackaging
consumer debt into mortgages," he said.
The final change, to remove government insurance on HELOCs, came as a
result of Ottawa's concern that certain financial institutions were allowing
homeowners to roll too may consumer purchases into CMHC-insured mortgages.
"I think that's particularly risky because some of those loans are
not used to create housing. They're used to buys boats, and cars and big-screen
television," Flaherty said. "That's not the business that home
insurance was designed for."
Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, shown addressing reporters during a news
conference last week, on Monday outlined several changes to mortgage lending
rules. (Jeff McIntosh/Canadian Press)
While Flaherty called the changes "moderate," they did not include
an increase to the five per cent minimum down payment Ottawa requires
for a home purchase. They also stopped short of a proposal that surfaced
last week which would have required 100 per cent of condo fees to be included
in the list of expenses that are measured against income when financial
firms consuder a mortgage candidate. Currently, only 50 per cent must
be included.
The changes also come following recent warnings from the Bank of Canada
on household debt levels.
In December, bank governor Mark Carney cautioned Canadian households
and businesses not to be lulled by current low interest rates, because
repercussions from a hike could be swift.
Rates 'will rise' "While rates are low by historical standards,
they eventually will rise," Flaherty said Monday. He dismissed the
notion that the announcement was timed to precede the Bank's next decision
on interest rates, which are set to be revealed Tuesday.
"The particular timing today is not related to interest rate announcement,"
Flaherty said. "The governor and I speak regularly, and we discuss
these types of issues and we make an effort to make sure government policy
complements the Bank of Canada's monetary policy."
Last week, Agathe Cote, a deputy governor at the bank, told a Kingston,
Ont., audience that a sudden weakening in the Canadian housing sector
could affect other areas of the economy given the high debt loads of some
households.
If that shock hits, Canadians would be expected to cut back on their
spending, she said. |
Sept. 2010
Home energy program offers up to $7,000
Buyers of new energy efficient homes can qualify for thousands in new
rebates from the province, giving consumers a chance to offset the Dexter
government’s sales tax hike, says one builder.
Under the program, homes that achieve an Energuide rating of at least
83 qualify for a rebate, ranging from $3,000 to $7,000, Energy Minister
Bill Estabrooks announced this morning.
Estabrooks, the minister responsible for Conserve Nova Scotia, said benefits
of energy efficient homes include lower energy costs and greenhouse emissions.
He said the rebate program should also create jobs by encouraging more
new home construction.
“Quality materials and extra attention to detail do increase the
cost of energy efficient homes,” Estabrooks said at a news conference
in Dartmouth.
“But when all of the homeowner’s monthly costs, including
principle, interest, taxes, and energy are added together, an energy efficient
home can actually cost you less to own.”
The program is limited to 1,200 buyers, or will be available until June
30, whichever comes first. The province has budgeted $4 million, which
works out to an average rebate of $3,333.
The rebate for a rating of 83 or 84 is $3,000, from 85-87, it’s
$5,000, and at 88 or higher, it’s $7,000.
The PerformancePlus program replaces the Energuide for New Homes program,
which was introduced in 2007. The previous program’s rebates topped
out at $1,250, and a home qualified with an Energuide rating of 80.
Estabrooks said the province had to step up with Ottawa shutting down
its home energy efficiency incentives earlier this year.
Antigonish home-builder Gerry Connolly said he thinks the new program
will be good for business.
“With the increase in the HST to 15 per cent, we needed some kind
of a stimulus in the home-building industry,” said Connolly, owner
of Enerscope Turnkey Homes.
The province put its share of the tax up two percentage points on July
1. Connolly said he issued a flurry of invoices in June to beat the tax.
He noted the new rebates could offset the tax increase.
The tax on a $200,000 new home is now $4,000 more than it would have
been before July 1. The difference on a $300,000 home is $6,000.
However, a buyer also faces the increased of cost of getting the home
to the 83-rating threshold.
Connolly said many new homes would already have a rating of about 80,
and the cost of adding a few more points wouldn’t be exorbitant.
He said it would take a little more insulation, more detailed air-sealing,
and the main issue likely would be installing an alternative heating system
like a heat pump, rather than an oil-fired furnace or electric baseboard
heat.
Connolly estimated the additional costs would be in the $5,000 to $10,000
range.
“People would do that, I think, if they thought they were going
to get a rebate,” he said.
Other rebates include $200 for homes that are ready for a solar hot water
system, and $1,000 if the solar equipment is installed.
It’s the second program for new home buyers the NDP have started
since forming government in June 2009.
The other program was a 50-per cent rebate on the provincial portion
of the HST. That program, limited to 1,500 homebuyers, ended earlier this
year. |
May 2010
CMHC predicts big bounce in Halifax home sales, starts Average prices also
expected to rise
Residential construction and existing home sales in Halifax will rebound
in 2010 and 2011, says Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corp. “Positive
migration patterns, strong employment levels and near record wages
will be supportive of housing demand in Halifax in 2010 and 2011,"
CMHC market analyst Tim Andrews said in a news release Wednesday.“New
home construction in Halifax is expected to rebound by 22 per cent to 2,120
units in 2010 and increase a further 7.5 per cent in 2011," he said.
“Single-detached starts will climb approximately 14 per cent this
year and five per cent in 2011. Multiple starts are forecast to rise 30
per cent in 2010 and another 10 per cent in 2011." Andrews said in
an interview the big bounce in new home construction in Halifax marks
a return to prerecession levels of activity following the economic downturn
of 2009.
“That’s getting us up to comparable 2008 levels," he
said Wednesday.
Existing home sales in Halifax are expected to grow this year and next
year, Andrews said. “MLS sales will grow by almost six per cent
in 2010 to 6,200 units and increase a further 2.5 per cent in 2011,"
he said. “Average home prices will continue to rise, reaching approximately
$243,500 in 2010 and $250,000 in 2011."
CMHC said housing starts will increase across Atlantic Canada this year
and in 2011 as low interest rates, rising incomes and moderate job growth
encourage consumer spending. “Single starts will see a moderate
recovery in 2010 and 2011 as the economy in Atlantic Canada continues
to rebound," said CMHC regional economist Alex Mac-Donald in a news
release.“Low vacancy rates and demographic trends related to an
aging population will contribute to stability for multiple starts, which
will remain flat in 2010 and rise moderately in 2011."
Existing home sales in Atlantic Canada are also expected to increase
in 2010, with Nova Scotia experiencing a three per cent jump in sales.Moderate
inventory declines in 2009 are expected to push up regional housing prices
in 2010.
|
February 2010
Heritage Gas , the province’s only gas distributor, will spend $30-million
this year making natural gas available to homes and businesses on the outskirts
of Halif ax.
The expansion will bring natural gas to Fairview, Clayton Park, Bayers
Lake and Bedford and should take about six months to complete, Heritage
Gas announced Thursday in a news release.
The company has filed its expansion plans with the Nova Scotia Utility
and Review Board on Dec. 1, 2009, and indicated this month that it would
seek a permit so construction can begin. |
CMHC Forecasting 6% Increase in House Sales in 2010
CMHC have forecast that the number of residential properties sold in
2010 will be 6% more than in 2009. Although sales dropped almost 8% in
2009 over 2008 the level of sales activity was near the record levels
of a few years earlier. The real estate market in HRM< showed great
strength throughout the economic crisis because the market is supported
by military, government office,hospitals, universities and other recession
proof employers.
|
Bus Service Expanded to Fall River, Enfield and
Cow Bay - Feb.. 2010
Halifax Regional Municipality has a new plan to pave the way for Metro
Transit.
The $93-million plan, to be implemented over five years, will bring limited
bus service to rural areas, including Cow Bay, Enfield and Fall River.
New MetroLink routes will also be added, connecting Clayton Park and Spryfield
with downtown Halifax. The initiative will introduce the Clayton Park
link by next year.
Metro Transit will purchase 102 more buses under the plan. |
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Halifax tops in Q3 economic growth, CIBC says - Dec 2009
Halifax is on the move, according to a new CIBC study.
For the first time, Halifax ranked first among Canadian citesties
for economic momentum, says the bank’s third-quarter Metro Monitor.
“The (nation-leading) ranking of Halifax was achieved despite the
fact that the city did not lead the nation in any of our macro categories,
reflecting its relatively diversified sources of economic growth and reduced
vulnerability to economic shocks," CIBC senior economist and monitor
author Benjamin Tal said Tuesday in a news release.
The monitor uses nine macroeconomic variables, including population
growth, employment growth, unemployment rates and bankruptcy rates, to
measure metropolitan economic activity.
Mr. Tal called Halifax’s top finish in the quarter, during which
the city’s overall employment grew by three per cent year-overyear,
a notable improvement from its fifth-place finish six months a go.
Statistics Canada said this week that a 0.4 per cent annualized jump in
Canada’s GDP officially ended the recession.
But Mr. Tal said Canada’s major cities are still hurting, with 10
of the top 25 urban areas, which generate two thirds of the country’s
GDP, showing negative growth in the quarter.
Finishing behind Halifax in the top 10 were Regina, Saskatoon, Sherbrooke,
St. John’s, N.L., Saint John, N.B., Toronto, Winnipeg, Quebec City
and Montreal.Vancouver ranked 12th, Edmonton was 13th and Calgary 15th.
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New Schools announced for HRM
On April 14, 2009 the Provincial Government announced several new schools
for HRM . They are as follows:
New $34 million Bedford High School in 2012, New $15 million Joseph Howe
school in Halifax 2013, New $13 million LeMarchant -St Thomas Elementary
School in 2014, New $24 million Prince Arthur/Southdale-North Woodside 2014.
There will also be major renovations completed on Dartmouth High School
and Inglis Street Elementary. |
Housing Starts Strong in Early 2009
Halifax is bucking the national trend. CMHC reported that there were 128
new housing starts in February 2009 compared to 86 starts in 2008. In the
Atlantic Region there were 262 new starts compared with 255 in 2008. Although
single detached housing starts are expected to be slower in 2009 the increase
in semi-detached and townhouse units will pick up the slack. The regions
balanced market was cited as the reason the area is bucking the national
trend. CMHC forecasts total residential starts in Halifax will drop slightly
to 2000 units down from 2,100 in 2008. |
Halifax Employer's Optimistic About Hiring
Manpower Inc. reported that a survey of employers in Halifax found that
only 3% of employers intended to reduce their labour force in 2nd Quarter
of 2009, 27% plan to hire and 70% plan to maintain the same level. Nationally
only 15% expect to hire while 9% planned cutbacks. The reason cited for
this was that the economy of Halifax is based on military, medical, government
and education which are core services that are insulated from economic turmoil.
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The Federal budget for 2009 included three items
that apply to real estate.
1) The First Homebuyer's Plan is a 15% tax rebate on amounts spent for
closing costs up to $5000. The maximum credit is $750. The way it works
is you can claim a credit , not deduction but an actual reduction in your
income tax, up to $750 on 2010 Income Tax Return. The property must have
been purchased after January 27, 2009. First Homebuyer means you or your
spouse or common law partner cannot have owned a home in the last 5 years.
For example if you close a property and spend $5000 in closing costs such
as deed transfer, legal etc you would be eligible to claim 15% of that
as a tax credit or $750. However if you only spent $4000 you would only
be entitled to 15% of the $4000 or $600.
2) The limit for the amount of funds a First Home Buyer can withdraw from
their RRSP to buy a home is increased to $25,000 from $20,000.
3) A 13.5% tax credit for home renovations of more than $1000 and up to
$10,000 was added. The maximum tax credit is $1,350. Renovations include
such things as roof, windows etc. The way it works is you receive a tax
credit on your 2010 Income Tax Return of up to $1,350. For example say
you had a new roof installed and new windows and it cost you $9000. You
would be entitled to 13.5% x $9000 or $1,215. if you spend over $10,000
you are only entitled to a maximum of $1,350.
For details on the Budget go to http://www.budget.gc.ca/2009/plan/bpa5a-eng.asp
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| January 9, 2009. Royal LePage in a national press release
today predicted the real estate market in Canada will "correct"in
2009 not "collapse". The press release states that Canada will
see overall prices will drop 3% and number of units sold will drop 3.5%.
In Halifax, they predict average prices will increase 1% to $234,300 after
a 7.2% increase in 2007/2008 and number of units sold to drop 6% to 6,100,
which is in the range of the record number of 2006 sales in Halifax. In
the press release they predict prices in Vancouver will drop 9%, which is
the biggest drop in the country and the number of units sold will drop the
most in Calgary at 7%. |
Metro Transit extends reach - October 28, 2008
Next spring, link to communities along Highway 103 will be up, running
Halifax’s successful MetroLink commuter buses are about to get a new
rural cousin.
MetroX will be launched next spring and will link communities along Highway
103 as far out as Upper Tantallon to downtown Halifax .A $1.35-million tender
for 10 buses, the first phase of the project, is to be awarded to Overland
Custom Coach (2007) Inc. when council meets tonight.The rest of the project,
which will eventually be expanded to 30 buses over three years at a cost
of $4.23 million, will be completed as council approves funding through
future capital budgets, a staff report says.MetroX buses will leave from
the Sobeys shopping centre at Exit 5 on Highway 103 and stop only at park-and-ride
lots at exits 4 and 3. The trip to downtown Halifax will take about a half-hour
and cost passengers $4 to $5 each."This will hopefully get started
next spring and it will take a lot of traffic off the roads," Councillor
Gary Meade (Hammonds Plains-St. Margarets) said Monday. Transfers to other
bus routes in the downtown will not cost extra, he said."So when you
think about the price of gas and parking, it will make up for it,"
he said. Monthly passes will likely be offered too, he said, but the details
will be worked out over the next few months.
Future phases of MetroX will include service along the Highway 101, 102
and 107 corridors.
MetroLink debuted in Portland Hills back in August 2005. The direct-service
commuter bus, which connects bedroom communities with downtown Halifax,
then expanded to Lower Sackville in February 2006.
The service has proven so popular that park-and-ride lots in both suburbs
quickly had to be expanded. |
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